Vyšší výdaje na obranu představují nezbytný předpoklad pro posílení obranyschopnosti Česka. To v roce 2024 poprvé splnilo závazek NATO vydávat na obranu 2 % HDP (167 mld. Kč). Očekává se však výrazné navýšení tohoto závazku až na úroveň 5 % HDP do roku 2032. Jak českou obranu efektivně financovat, to představuje nová studia Centra veřejných financí a PRCP.
New research on interstate rivalry and state support for arms control
Do rivalries with major powers undermine global arms control? Tobias Risse reveals how power imbalances shape negotiations, discouraging non-major powers from supporting arms control when pitted against stronger rivals. His analysis uncovers a crucial role of power relations in arms control negotiations.
Pozvánka na sérii debat: TO JE KRIZE
Srdečně vás zveme na letní open-air festival v Kasárna Karlín, který pořádáme ve spolupráci s Voxpot! Přijďte si užít večer plný diskuzí o dnešním světě, který se nám všem mění před očima. Čeká vás nejen silný line-up plný zajímavých hostů, ale hlavně odpočinková atmosféra oblíbeného pražského podniku.
New research on Russia's weak spots in cyber sovereignty
Our researcher Lucie Kadlecová and her colleague Viktor Paggio recently published an article in Democracy and Security titled Russia’s Weak Spots in Cyber Sovereignty: How the West Can Keep Russian Citizens’ Access to Online Information Free from the Kremlin Interference. The article summarizes how Russia pushes its take on cyber sovereignty and which aspects these initiatives lack. Furthermore, it introduces recommendations for the West on how to allow Russian citizen’s access to online content that is free from their government’s interference.
Working paper #004
This working paper written by Alice Nováková, Karim Kamel, and Elin Bergner argues that integrating Feminist Foreign Policy (FFP) into nuclear risk reduction (NRR) can shift security frameworks from deterrence and coercion to cooperation and human-centered approaches. While NRR focuses on technical safeguards, FFP adds value by addressing systemic inequalities and emphasizing empathy, justice, and inclusion. The paper critiques the gendered and colonial roots of nuclear discourse and highlights practical examples, such as the Stockholm Initiative and Global South treaties. It cautions against superficial feminist branding and calls for centering marginalized voices. The authors offer policy recommendations to create a more inclusive and transformative path toward nuclear disarmament.
New Publication | Israel and the Politics of Intelligence Failure on 7 October
This article from Dr. Rob Geist Pinfold examines Israel’s intelligence failures and successes in its ongoing conflict with Hamas. It distinguishes between occasional (intelligence assessments) and causal factors (structural and political inputs). Critically, it illustrates that Israel’s intelligence agencies deferred to the prevailing, but incorrect, assumptions and short-sighted policy priorities set by the Prime Minister’s Office. The authors also explore the over-reliance on technical intelligence, the lack of structural reform and the militarised nature of Israel’s intelligence cycle.
New Publication | The US Facing Israel: From Restrainer to Enabler
What happens when both the U.S. and Israel shift from preserving stability to pushing for bold change? This study explores how recent conflicts, especially the 2023 Hamas attacks, have transformed Israel into a more aggressive actor and aligned it even closer with the U.S., now under another Trump presidency. As Israel and America embrace a shared revisionist agenda, their partnership could drive major shifts in the Middle East’s balance of power.