,

Lithuania's strategic reorientation towards China: New research article

,
Lithuania's strategic reorientation towards China: New research article

A new research article from Zuzana Krulichová analyzes how Lithuania shifted its foreign policy towards China from initial participation in the Belt and Road Initiative to framing it as a potential security threat, coupled with the adoption of an Indo-Pacific strategy. Using an analysis of government document and interviews, the article suggest that Lithuania’s case demonstrates how small states can adapt foreign policy through pragmatic risk management and values-based positioning. Find the full article here.

Research on gray-zone conflicts: How do different deniability strategies influence willingness to respond with force?

Research on gray-zone conflicts: How do different deniability strategies influence willingness to respond with force?

A new article from Lauren Sukin and her colleague Kathryn Hedgecock (United States Military Academy) finds that in gray-zone conflicts, states generally use deniability (obscuring which actors took which actions) to limit the extent of accountability for their aggression in the international system. Using a survey experiment on US military cadets (N = 735), the authors argue that the use of deniability strategies makes escalation more likely but also lowers the intensity of the escalation that occurs. Find the full article here.

, , ,

New data on Czech attitudes towards Israel (2022–2026)

, , ,
New data on Czech attitudes towards Israel (2022–2026)

A PRCP study conducted in collaboration with Ipsos across 4 waves (2022–2026) on a representative sample of the Czech population shows neutrality remains the dominant stance on Israel, but since 2024 positive views have declined and negative views have increased. The sharpest shift is among women aged 18–29, with nearly half expressing a negative attitude toward Israel in 2026.

,

New cross-national survey data: U.S. domestic politics, particularly polarization, shapes foreign nuclear credibility

,
New cross-national survey data: U.S. domestic politics, particularly polarization, shapes foreign nuclear credibility

A new article by our researcher Lauren Sukin and her colleague Helen Webley-Brown discovers that domestic politics in the U.S. has international consequences in the nuclear realm. Using a cross-national survey experiment in 5 countries (N = 6,009), the article finds that particularly public polarization undermines international trust in U.S. nuclear deterrence, regardless of the party in control. Find the full article here.

How does the Iranian regime survive international stigma? Insights from a new article

How does the Iranian regime survive international stigma? Insights from a new article

A new article by Müberra Dinler explores how Iran manages international stigma. By leveraging symbolic power derived from past struggles against foreign intervention and monarchy, the regime creates a Separate System of Honour, turning external shaming into domestic pride. This performance sustains domestic legitimacy and aligns Iran with regional and global "in-groups" such as the Axis of Resistance. Find the full article here.

How do military alliances shape support for military interventions globally? Evidence from a cross-national experiment

How do military alliances shape support for military interventions globally? Evidence from a cross-national experiment

In their first ERC-funded article titled “Allied commitments and public support for military interventions: A cross-national experiment”, Michal Smetana, Marek Vranka, and Ondřej Rosendorf present findings from a cross-national survey experiment across six countries (N = 7,200) to show that while allied commitments boost public support for military intervention globally, this effect is weaker in non-Western, non-NATO countries. Find the full article here.

Experimental research finds no elite-public gap in how human rights are weighed against arms export benefits

Experimental research finds no elite-public gap in how human rights are weighed against arms export benefits

In a new article in the Journal of Conflict Resolution, Tobias Risse and Christoph Valentin Steinert use findings from four survey experiments among citizens and parliamentarians in the UK and Germany to show that when forming opinions on arms exports, politicians are not more likely than citizens to trade human rights for the political and economic benefits of the trade. Find the full article here.

What makes a weapon too horrific to use? Findings from a new experiment

What makes a weapon too horrific to use? Findings from a new experiment

In their new article in the Journal of Peace Research, David M. Allison, Stephen Herzog and Lauren Sukin report findings from a conjoint survey experiment which investigates U.S. public attitudes toward the use of different weapon types. They find that respondents favor lower-casualty strikes even at reduced mission effectiveness and highlight that respondents rank weapons morally: cyber attacks are most acceptable, followed by conventional, cluster, chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons.